Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 145.612283 170.020897 199.076952 236.743510 285.080912 3.461841e+02 4.312201e+02
2025-02-16 113.652297 143.106719 182.286212 240.121474 326.941193 4.592528e+02 6.921307e+02
2025-02-23 96.690325 127.607417 171.764709 242.962348 362.771937 5.745766e+02 1.034247e+03
2025-03-02 85.955778 117.613106 165.423011 248.285443 402.185104 7.144768e+02 1.556649e+03
2025-03-09 77.500964 109.107075 159.023317 250.881147 436.765984 8.655158e+02 2.314938e+03
2025-03-16 69.280865 99.552679 148.945743 244.014533 449.674098 9.769112e+02 3.171821e+03
2025-03-23 65.342552 96.153560 148.390291 254.527188 504.144419 1.240764e+03 5.448530e+03
2025-03-30 59.149795 88.215783 138.581639 244.196634 505.410019 1.348642e+03 7.422011e+03
2025-04-06 55.571999 84.259781 135.336505 246.802485 541.161987 1.616002e+03 1.281867e+04
2025-04-13 52.032935 79.962413 130.809610 245.546237 566.186175 1.876827e+03 2.246601e+04
2025-04-20 50.550342 79.115806 132.733270 259.511447 644.053800 2.517309e+03 7.228115e+04
2025-04-27 50.005922 79.879373 137.923849 282.829331 768.373734 3.763350e+03 1.128857e+06
2025-05-04 46.570487 75.237437 132.023745 278.253830 798.097094 4.540465e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 44.119255 72.275423 129.401283 282.378252 869.875557 6.147014e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 41.908649 69.528843 126.812772 285.938825 944.712589 8.475261e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 40.133236 67.446572 125.385931 292.619197 1043.849924 1.262283e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 38.324447 65.111831 123.037437 295.881519 1131.621919 1.873551e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 36.032299 61.587388 117.441881 287.258244 1144.189223 2.330545e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 35.099820 60.787243 118.263952 300.469157 1315.241043 4.756543e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 32.957931 57.273432 112.015602 287.486648 1291.501469 5.635347e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 31.762642 55.677995 110.369378 290.756790 1399.159496 1.098961e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 30.447061 53.722535 107.586083 289.179901 1469.809053 2.111174e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 30.014747 53.641563 109.609283 306.750437 1748.795874 2.248604e+06 NaN